Most of the housing across this service area - the 19 communities from Sunol and Camino Tassajara out to Brentwood, Byron, and Knightsen - went up between 1961 and 2010, with the bulk of that stock dating to the 1980s and 90s. That matters for this specific failure because garage door hardware from that era used lighter-gauge track and steel rollers that were standard for the time but wear differently than what's installed today. After three or four decades, roller bearings dry out and rollers develop flat spots, and a flat-spotted roller is what jumps the track under normal use - not from any single dramatic event, just from age catching up with a part.
The mild temperate climate here doesn't put the stress on doors that freeze-thaw cycles or heavy humidity swings do elsewhere, so a lot of these original tracks and rollers have simply outlasted their expected service life without ever being forced out by weather damage. That's actually part of the problem: nothing failed hard enough to prompt a replacement, so the hardware just kept degrading quietly until a roller finally gave out.
With 78,437 owner-occupied houses across this area sharing roughly that same construction window, off-track doors tied to original 1980s-90s rollers and track are one of the most common calls we get, not an unusual one.